Market UpdateMarket UpdateMarket UpdateMarket UpdateMarket UpdateMarket Update June 5, 2024

1st Interest Rate Cut by the Bank Of Canada in 4 Years

Bank of Canada reduces policy rate by 25 basis points

The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate to 4¾%, with the Bank Rate at 5% and the deposit rate at 4¾%. The Bank is continuing its policy of balance sheet normalization.

The global economy grew by about 3% in the first quarter of 2024, broadly in line with the Bank’s April Monetary Policy Report (MPR) projection. In the United States, the economy expanded more slowly than was expected, as weakness in exports and inventories weighed on activity. Growth in private domestic demand remained strong but eased. In the euro area, activity picked up in the first quarter of 2024. China’s economy was also stronger in the first quarter, buoyed by exports and industrial production, although domestic demand remained weak. Inflation in most advanced economies continues to ease, although progress towards price stability is bumpy and is proceeding at different speeds across regions. Oil prices have averaged close to the MPR assumptions, and financial conditions are little changed since April.

In Canada, economic growth resumed in the first quarter of 2024 after stalling in the second half of last year. At 1.7%, first-quarter GDP growth was slower than forecast in the MPR. Weaker inventory investment dampened activity. Consumption growth was solid at about 3%, and business investment and housing activity also increased. Labour market data show businesses continue to hire, although employment has been growing at a slower pace than the working-age population. Wage pressures remain but look to be moderating gradually. Overall, recent data suggest the economy is still operating in excess supply.

CPI inflation eased further in April, to 2.7%. The Bank’s preferred measures of core inflation also slowed and three-month measures suggest continued downward momentum. Indicators of the breadth of price increases across components of the CPI have moved down further and are near their historical average. However, shelter price inflation remains high.

With continued evidence that underlying inflation is easing, Governing Council agreed that monetary policy no longer needs to be as restrictive and reduced the policy interest rate by 25 basis points. Recent data has increased our confidence that inflation will continue to move towards the 2% target. Nonetheless, risks to the inflation outlook remain. Governing Council is closely watching the evolution of core inflation and remains particularly focused on the balance between demand and supply in the economy, inflation expectations, wage growth, and corporate pricing behaviour. The Bank remains resolute in its commitment to restoring price stability for Canadians.

Information note

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is July 24, 2024. The Bank will publish its next full outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, in the MPR at the same time.

General InfoGeneral InfoGeneral Info June 2, 2024

Proposed Homeowner Protection Act, 2024 (Ontario, Canada)

Ontario Homeowners’ Protection Act 2024: Strengthening Consumer Protections and Preserving Heritage

The Ontario government is taking significant steps to bolster consumer protections for homeowners and homebuyers through a series of legislative measures aimed at curbing harmful business practices. In addition to ensuring that homebuyers can make well-informed decisions, the province is also focusing on preserving its heritage while supporting housing and infrastructure development. This comprehensive approach aims to create a fairer, more transparent real estate market while honoring the historical significance of Ontario’s communities.

Banning Consumer Notices of Security Interest Registrations

A pivotal aspect of the new measures is the proposed ban on consumer Notices of Security Interest (NOSI) registrations. NOSIs are notices that businesses can register on the Land Registry when they rent, finance, or lease equipment installed on a property, such as water heaters, furnaces, or HVAC units. These registrations can complicate property sales and financing for homeowners, as they often discover these liens only when they attempt to sell their home or seek additional financing.

Since the early 2000s, the number of NOSIs registered annually has surged from approximately 2,000 to over 58,000 in 2023. Currently, there are about 350,000 consumer and commercial NOSIs registered on Ontario’s electronic Land Registry. Misuse of these registrations often pressures consumers into negotiating costly buyouts, which can result in significant financial burdens. The ban on NOSIs aims to protect homeowners from such predatory practices and ensure smoother property transactions.

Protecting Buyers of New Homes

  • 10-Day Cooling-Off Period

To further safeguard homebuyers, Ontario proposes a statutory 10-day cooling-off period for purchases of new freehold homes. This cooling-off period allows buyers to thoroughly understand their commitments and back out of the purchase if they decide it is not in their best interest. Currently, purchasers of new condos already benefit from such a cooling-off period. The proposed change aims to align protections across different types of property purchases, ensuring that all new homebuyers have the time and tools to make confident, informed decisions.

  • Cancellation Disclosures

In an effort to boost homebuyer confidence, the government intends to introduce regulatory changes that would require public disclosure of a builder’s history of cancelling purchase agreements for new freehold homes. This follows public consultations conducted in summer 2023. Presently, buyers can access a builder’s record of cancelling condo purchase agreements on the Home Construction Regulatory Authority’s (HCRA) website. Extending this transparency to freehold homes will help buyers make better-informed decisions and trust in the reliability of their builders.

  • Combating Illegal Building and Selling

Ontario is also targeting illegal building and selling practices. Homes constructed by unlicensed builders who bypass necessary regulatory requirements often have more defects and pose higher risks to buyers. These homes are not enrolled with Tarion, the body overseeing Ontario’s new home warranty and protection program, leading to significantly higher claims. On average, Tarion pays out $45,928 per illegally built home compared to $19,563 for legally built homes.

The province plans to hold consultations in early 2025 to develop strategies to combat illegal building practices. These consultations will focus on creating a fairer market for compliant builders and ensuring better quality homes for buyers of new freehold homes.

Enhancing Protections for Condo Owners

Condominium communities, home to over a million Ontarians, often face unique challenges and disputes. The Condominium Authority Tribunal, which primarily resolves disputes between condo corporations and owners, is set to expand its jurisdiction. Ontario plans to initiate consultations on this expansion, beginning with issues related to owners’ meetings. This phased and thoughtful approach aims to address the evolving needs of condo communities.

  • Consultations for Condo Protections

The government will also consult on initiatives to strengthen protections for condo owners and buyers. These consultations will explore improvements to status certificates, disclosure statements, handling material changes during construction, and records access. The goal is to enhance operational and financial transparency for condo owners while minimizing the administrative burden on condo corporations.

Supporting Municipalities and Property Owners in Conserving Heritage

Ontario is committed to preserving its rich heritage while facilitating housing and infrastructure development. Proposed amendments to the Ontario Heritage Act would give municipalities until January 1, 2027, to complete the evaluation of properties on their municipal heritage registers. This extension aims to ease administrative pressures on municipalities, allowing them more time to focus on conserving historically significant properties.

Additionally, the proposed amendments would provide clarity on how legislated timelines and requirements apply to listed properties, offering greater certainty to both municipalities and property owners.

Building More Housing Near Transit

To capitalize on Ontario’s substantial investments in transit infrastructure, the province is proposing measures to make it easier and faster to build mixed-use housing near transit hubs. This initiative aims to maximize the benefits of transit-oriented communities, providing continued certainty for building partners and fostering the development of vibrant, accessible neighborhoods.

The proposed legislation would exempt designated transit-oriented community lands from certain provisions of the Planning Act related to minister’s zoning orders, facilitating quicker and more efficient development processes.

Conclusion

The Ontario government’s comprehensive approach to strengthening consumer protections, supporting heritage conservation, and facilitating housing development represents a significant step forward for homeowners and homebuyers. By banning harmful business practices like NOSI registrations, introducing cooling-off periods, enhancing transparency, and combating illegal building, the province aims to create a fairer and more transparent real estate market.

Moreover, the focus on preserving Ontario’s heritage and promoting transit-oriented development underscores a balanced approach to growth and conservation. These measures, combined with enhanced protections for condo owners and thoughtful expansion of the Condominium Authority Tribunal’s jurisdiction, reflect Ontario’s commitment to supporting its residents and ensuring a thriving, equitable housing market.

For more detailed information and ongoing updates, homeowners and buyers are encouraged to refer to official resources at Ontario.ca or consult with real estate professionals and legal experts. Staying informed is the best way to navigate these changes and make confident, well-informed decisions in Ontario’s dynamic real estate landscape.

Statistics April 3, 2024

Selling Prices Up in March and Set to Accelerate This Spring

 

TORONTO, ONTARIO, April 3, 2024 – The latest report on March 2024 home sales, facilitated through TRREB’s MLS® System, reveals a slight dip compared to the same period in 2023. This decrease can be attributed in part to the timing of the statutory holiday Good Friday, which fell in March this year as opposed to April last year. Despite a more robust market with increased inventory compared to the previous year, a moderate uptick in average home prices was observed due to significant competition among buyers.

In March 2024, Greater Toronto Area (GTA) REALTORS® recorded 6,560 sales via TRREB’s MLS® System, reflecting a decrease of 4.5 percent from March 2023. However, there was a notable 15 percent increase in new listings during the same period. On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, sales saw a marginal decrease of 1.1 percent, while new listings dropped by three percent compared to February. The first quarter concluded with a promising 11.2 percent year-over-year increase in sales and an even greater annual rise of 18.3 percent in new listings.

Jennifer Pearce, President of TRREB, remarked, “We have observed a gradual enhancement in market conditions over the past quarter, with buyers adjusting to the higher interest rate environment. Concurrently, homeowners appear to be anticipating a springtime improvement in market conditions, as evidenced by the significant surge in new listings this year. Assuming a forthcoming decrease in borrowing costs, we anticipate further growth in sales, absorption of new listings, and tighter market conditions that will propel selling prices upwards.”

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) Composite benchmark exhibited a modest 0.3 percent increase year-over-year, with the average selling price rising by 1.3 percent to $1,121,615. On a seasonally-adjusted month-over-month basis, the MLS® HPI Composite and the average selling price experienced increases of 0.2 percent and 0.7 percent, respectively, compared to February.

Jason Mercer, Chief Market Analyst at TRREB, commented, “As we progressed through the first quarter of 2024, the average selling price saw a slight uptick compared to the previous year. We anticipate accelerated price growth during the spring and particularly in the latter half of the year, as sales growth aligns with listings growth, leading to seller-friendly market conditions in numerous neighborhoods. Lower borrowing costs in the foreseeable future are expected to fuel heightened demand for homeownership.”

John DiMichele, CEO of TRREB, emphasized the critical importance of addressing housing supply concerns amidst increasing demand for both ownership and rental properties. DiMichele stressed the necessity for governmental focus on innovative solutions to boost housing supply, including the removal of obstacles to non-traditional arrangements such as co-ownership models. Encouraging gentle density, including multiplexes, is deemed essential to meeting housing supply targets, particularly in high-demand areas like the Greater Golden Horseshoe.

March 8, 2024

York Region Market Update – February 2024

March 8, 2024

Township Of Uxbridge Market Update – February 2024

March 8, 2024

Durham Region Market Update For February 2024

March 5, 2024

Buyers Re-Enter the GTA Housing Market in February

TORONTO, ONTARIO, March 5, 2024 – Greater Toronto Area (GTA) home sales and new listings were up on an annual and monthly basis in February 2024. Selling prices also edged upward compared to a year earlier. Population growth and a resilient regional economy continued to support the overall demand for housing. Higher borrowing costs kept home sales below the February sales record reached in 2021.

“We have recently seen a resurgence in sales activity compared to last year. The market assumption is that the Bank of Canada has finished hiking rates. Consumers are now anticipating rate cuts in the near future. A growing number of homebuyers have also come to terms with elevated mortgage rates over the past two years. To minimize higher monthly payments, some buyers have likely saved up a larger down payment, chosen to purchase a less-expensive home type and/or looked to a different location in the GTA,” said TRREB President Jennifer Pearce.

REALTORS® reported 5,607 GTA home sales through TRREB’s MLS® System in February 2024 – an increase of 17.9 per cent compared to February 2023. Even after accounting for the leap year effect, sales were up by 12.3 per cent year- over-year. New listings were up by an even greater annual rate than sales in February, pointing to increased choice for buyers. On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, February sales were lower following two consecutive monthly increases while new listings were flat. Monthly figures can be somewhat volatile, especially when the market is approaching a transition point.

Home selling prices in February 2024 remained similar to February 2023. The MLS® Home Price Index Composite benchmark edged up by 0.4 per cent. The average selling price of $1,108,720 increased by a modest 1.1 per cent. On a seasonally-adjusted monthly basis, both the MLS® HPI Composite and the average selling price edged upward.

“As we move through 2024, an increasing number of buyers will re-enter the market with adjusted housing preferences to account for higher borrowing costs. In the second half of the year, lower interest rates will further boost demand for ownership housing. First-time buying activity will also be a contributing factor, as many renters look to trade high monthly rents for a long-term investment in which they can live and build equity,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.

“Population growth has been at a record pace and with the anticipated lower borrowing costs, the demand for housing – both ownership and rental – will also increase over the next two years. Unaffordable housing not only has a financial impact but also a social impact. Recent research conducted for TRREB by CANCEA in our 2024 Market Outlook and Year in Review report underscores the negative impact of unaffordable housing on peoples’ mental health and life satisfaction. It’s comforting to see that there has been some real building happening in the GTA and that the provincial government is rewarding those municipalities that are working to eliminate the red tape and meet those homeownership needs,” said TRREB CEO John DiMichele.

I wanted to extend an invitation to schedule an introductory call with me. This call will be an opportunity for us to get to know each other better and discuss any real estate-related questions or plans you may have. You can easily book a time that works for you by clicking on the following link: Calendly Link – Schedule a Call Or Visit!.

I look forward to connecting with you soon.

 

General InfoGeneral InfoGeneral InfoGeneral InfoGeneral Info March 5, 2024

News Update: CMHC To End First-Time Homebuyer Incentive Program

IMPORTANT – February 29, 2024

The First-Time Home Buyer Incentive has been discontinued. 

The deadline for new or updated submissions for the First-Time Home Buyer Incentive is midnight ET on March 21, 2024. 


For new and resubmitted First-Time Home Buyer Incentive applications

All new applications and resubmissions for previously cancelled or declined applications must reach the Program Administrator by March 21, 2024 (midnight ET).

  • In cases where an application was previously cancelled or declined, it must be resubmitted and received by the Program Administrator before the March 21, 2024 (midnight ET) deadline.
  • If an application is submitted on or before the March 21, 2024, deadline (midnight ET) and is declined due to an application error, the mortgage loan insurer is responsible for rectifying the issue and resubmitting the application.
  • Applications resubmitted after March 21, 2024 must undergo a manual review. Requests for such reviews must be submitted no later than March 25, 2024 (midnight ET).

The Program Administrator will process applications received before the deadlines promptly. No new approvals will be granted after March 31, 2024.


For approved applications

The Program Administrator will continue to consider post-approval changes, following the guidance outlined in the Operational Policy Manual (PDF) available on the Place to Call Home website (refer to section 6.3).

For inquiries: FTHBIOps@cmhc-schl.gc.ca


About the Program

The First-Time Home Buyer Incentive helps qualified first-time homebuyers reduce their monthly mortgage payments without adding to their financial burdens.

The First-Time Home Buyer Incentive is a shared-equity mortgage with the Government of Canada, which offers:

  • 5% or 10% for a first-time buyer’s purchase of a newly constructed home
  • 5% for a first-time buyer’s purchase of a resale (existing) home
  • 5% for a first-time buyer’s purchase of a new or resale mobile/manufactured home

The shared equity component of the incentive means that the government shares in both the upside and downside of the property value, up to a maximum gain or loss equal to 8% per annum (not compounded) on the Incentive amount from the date of advance to the time of repayment.

By obtaining the Incentive, the borrower may not have to save as much of a down payment to be able to afford the payments associated with the mortgage. The effect of the larger down payment is a smaller mortgage, and, ultimately, lower monthly costs.

The homebuyer will have to repay the Incentive based on the market value of the home at the time of repayment equal to the percentage (for example, 5% or 10%) of the original home value used to determine the Incentive, up to a maximum repayment amount equal to:

(i) where the home’s value has appreciated, the Incentive plus a maximum gain of 8% per annum (not compounded) on the Incentive amount from the date of advance to the time of repayment; or

(ii) where the home’s value has depreciated, the Incentive minus a maximum loss of 8% per annum (not compounded) on the Incentive amount from the date of advance to the time of repayment.

The homebuyer must repay the Incentive after 25 years, or when the property is sold, whichever comes first. The homebuyer can also repay the Incentive in full any time before, without a pre-payment penalty.

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) ©2024

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SOLD! – 12 Village Green Lane

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