GTA March 2025 Real Estate Market: Enhanced Affordability and Increased Choices

The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) real estate market in March 2025 has presented a landscape marked by improved affordability and a broader selection of properties for prospective homebuyers. This shift is attributed to declining borrowing costs, moderated home prices, and a surge in new listings.

However, underlying economic uncertainties, particularly related to international trade tensions and the impending federal election, have influenced buyer sentiment and market dynamics.

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Key Market Indicators

In March 2025, GTA REALTORS® reported 5,011 home sales through the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board’s (TRREB) MLS® System, representing a 23.1% decrease compared to March 2024. Conversely, new listings rose by 28.6% year-over-year, totaling 17,263 properties.

The MLS® Home Price Index Composite benchmark declined by 3.8% annually, while the average selling price decreased by 2.5% to $1,093,254.

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The following table summarizes these key metrics:​

Affordability and Borrowing Costs

The decline in both home prices and borrowing costs over the past year has enhanced affordability for potential homeowners. TRREB President Elechia Barry-Sproule noted, “Homeownership has become more affordable over the past 12 months, and we expect further rate cuts this spring.” ​

The Bank of Canada’s recent interest rate reductions have played a pivotal role in lowering borrowing costs, thereby making monthly mortgage payments more manageable for households. This trend is expected to continue, providing further relief to buyers.​

Impact of Economic Uncertainty

Despite improved affordability, economic uncertainties have led many potential buyers to adopt a cautious approach. TRREB’s Chief Information Officer Jason Mercer stated, “Given the current trade uncertainty and the upcoming federal election, many households are likely taking a wait-and-see approach to home buying.” ​

The introduction of a 10% baseline tariff on all U.S. imports by President Donald Trump has heightened trade tensions, potentially impacting Canada’s economy and, consequently, consumer confidence in the housing market. ​

Market Dynamics: Supply and Demand

The substantial increase in new listings has expanded the inventory available to buyers, granting them greater negotiating power. This influx of supply, coupled with tempered demand due to economic uncertainties, has contributed to the observed decline in home prices. The following chart illustrates the trend in new listings and home sales over the past year:​

Chart: Total New Listings and Sale-to-New Listings Ratio for March 2024 / March 2025

Housing Policy and Future Outlook

Housing remains a focal point in the political arena, with federal parties emphasizing its importance in their platforms. TRREB CEO John DiMichele highlighted, “Building this housing will be a key economic driver moving forward.” ​

The upcoming federal election and potential policy changes are expected to influence market conditions. Buyers and sellers alike are advised to stay informed about policy developments that may impact housing affordability and availability.​

Conclusion

The GTA real estate market in March 2025 reflects a complex interplay of improved affordability, increased housing choices, and economic uncertainties. Prospective buyers benefit from lower prices and borrowing costs, alongside a wider selection of properties.

However, factors such as trade tensions and political developments continue to shape market dynamics. Stakeholders are encouraged to monitor these trends closely and consult with real estate professionals to navigate this evolving landscape effectively.

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